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Who’ll win Eurovision 2025? Here are the bookies’ odds

By Damian Jones May 12, 2025 | 5:05 AM

The bookies’ odds have been revealed for who is most likely to win the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 this year.

The first of two semi-finals took place in Switzerland last night (Tuesday May 13), ahead of the second round tomorrow (Thursday May 15) and the Grand Final on Saturday evening (17).

Yesterday’s instalment saw 10 acts progress to this weekend’s final. These were Estonia’s Tommy Cash, Norway’s Kyle Alessandro, Netherlands’ Claude, Ukraine’s Ziferblat, Albania’s Shkodra Elektronike, Sweden’s KAJ, Poland’s Justyna Steczkowska, Portugal’s Napa, San Marino’s Gabry Ponte, and Iceland’s VÆB.

Five competitors did not make it through to the next round of the contest: Azerbaijan’s Mamagama, Belgium’s Red Sebastian, Cyprus’ Theo Evan, Croatia’s Marko Bošnjak, and Slovenia’s Klemen.

Sixteen artists will compete in the second semi-final, including UK entry Remember Monday with their track ‘What The Hell Just Happened?’. Then, 10 of these will go through to the Grand Final – joining the successful 10 from the first semi-final.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest will air live on BBC One and BBC iPlayer.

There has been controversy surrounding this year’s event after over 70 former Eurovision contestants signed a letter calling to ban Israel.

The letter said that the inclusion of Israel in the 2024 edition led to it being “the most politicised, chaotic and unpleasant in the competition’s history”.

It also accuses KAN of being “complicit in Israel’s genocide against the Palestinians in Gaza and the decades-long regime of apartheid and military occupation against the entire Palestinian people”, and claimed that the EBU was “normalising and whitewashing its crimes”.

Irish broadcaster RTÉ has also asked Eurovision for a discussion over Israel’s involvement in the song contest.

According to the latest bookies odds, Swedish comedy trio KAJ are favourites to win with their song ‘Bara Bada Bastu’. They currently have a 42 per cent chance of snagging the crown this year.

Austrian singer JJ is the second favourite with his operatic ballad ‘Wasted Love’, with odds of 21 per cent, while French singer Louane is in third place on six per cent for her song ‘Maman’.

Despite the controversy surrounding Israel, the country’s entrant, Yuval Raphael, is currently the fifth favourite with her piano ballad ‘New Day Will Rise’, at five per cent in the latest bookies’ odds. She is behind Netherlands’ Claude at fourth place, with six per cent.

Estonia’s Tommy Cash is currently eighth on two per cent, while the UK’s entry, Remember Monday, are 18th on one per cent.

See the current bookies’ odds for all 32 remaining contestants below (last updated at 11am BST, May 14).

1) Sweden – KAJ – ‘Bara Bada Bastu’ – 42 per cent
2) Austria – JJ – ‘Wasted Love’ – 21 per cent
3) France – Louane – ‘Maman’ – six per cent
4) Netherlands – Claude – ‘Cest La Vie’ – six per cent
5) Israel – Yuval Raphael – ‘New Day Will Rise’ – five per cent
6) Finland – Erika Vikman – ‘ICH KOMME’ – three per cent
7) Switzerland – Zoë Më – ‘Voyage’ – three per cent
8) Estonia – Tommy Cash – ‘Espresso Macchiato’ – two per cent
9) Albania – Shkodra Elektronike – ‘Zjerm’ – two per cent
10) Malta – Miriana Conte – ‘SERVING’ – one per cent
11) Czechia – ADONXS – ‘Kiss Kiss Goodbye’ – one per cent
12) Italy – Lucio Corsi – ‘Volevo Essere Un Duro’ – one per cent
13) Ukraine – Ziferblat – ‘Bird Of Pray’ – one per cent
14) Spain – Melody – ‘ESA DIVA’ – one per cent
15) Germany – Abor & Tynna – ‘Baller’ – one per cent
16) Australia – Go-Jo – ‘Milkshake Man’ – one per cent
17) Ireland – EMMY – ‘Laika Party’ – one per cent
18) UK – Remember Monday – ‘What the Hell Just Happened?’ – one per cent
19) San Marino – Gabry Ponte – Tutta LItalia – one per cent
20) Poland – Justyna Steczkowska – ‘GAJA’ – one per cent
21) Norway – Kyle Alessandro – ‘Lighter’ – < one per cent
22) Greece – Klavdia – ‘Asteromáta’ – < one per cent
23) Lithuania – Katarsis – Tavo Akys – < one per cent
24) Iceland – VÆB – ‘RÓA’ – < one per cent
25) Denmark – Sissal – ‘Hallucination’ – < one per cent
26) Latvia – Tautumeitas – ‘Bur Man Laimi’ –
27) Portugal – NAPA – ‘Deslocado’ – < one per cent
28) Serbia – Princ – ‘Mila’ – < one per cent
29) Luxembourg – Laura Thorn – ‘La Poupée Monte Le Son’ – < one per cent
30) Armenia – PARG – ‘SURVIVOR’ – < one per cent
31) Georgia – Mariam Shengelia – ‘Freedom’ – < one per cent
32) Montenegro – Nina Žižić – ‘Dobrodošli’ – < one per cent

Remember Monday recently spoke to NME about competing in this year’s song contest in Basel – and revealed that Queen‘s ‘Bohemian Rhapsody’ was a major influence on their “chaotic” power-pop song ‘What the Hell Just Happened?’

The country-pop trio – Lauren Byrne, Holly-Anne Hull and Charlotte Steele – are the first girl-group to represent the UK since Precious, who finished in 12th place in 1999. The UK has only cracked the Top 10 on three occasions since then, most recently when Sam Ryder came second three years ago.

“There were loads of people online saying, ‘I don’t know how a country song will go down at Eurovision.’ And obviously we just had to sit there and keep quiet,” Byrne said.

Steele added: “In a way, that speculation helped us because we were so excited and proud of the song, which is quite different, that we just couldn’t wait for people to hear it.”

Estonia’s Eurovision 2025 entry Tommy Cash also recently spoke to NME about the inspirations behind his controversial song ‘Espresso Macchiato’ and his hopes for winning.

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